Ukraine’s latest corn harvest update shows 14.7mmt of crop from
2.8mha (60%) with an average yield of 5.28mt/ha.
The Ukrainian Agrarian Confederation has estimated final harvest
volumes will reach 27.0mmt.
That will require the yield to improve from the
current average of 5.28mt/ha to 5.78mt/ha, an increase of 0.50mt/ha or
9%.
Except what is actually required is the remaining crop to
be harvested (1.88mha) will need to average 6.54mt/ha.
Personally I don’t see that happening, in my experience yields
tend to fall as you move on to the later planted crops and weather starts to
have a greater impact on harvesting operations.
Plus there is always a percentage of crop that doesn't get
harvested until the spring.
I would suggest 27.0mmt is a great aspiration but in reality
and given some consideration I would say it’s unlikely.